Who Will Win The Next Lok Sabha Election In India In 2019??

The run of the diversion is exceptionally straightforward, pick up a larger part and viola you are announced as the victor of 2019 Lok Sabha races.

How about we examine the conceivable separate –

Uttar Pradesh – This state sends the most astounding MP’s and in 2014 BJP won 71 situates out of 80, with 2 heading off to its partner Apna Dal. There’s a probability that BJP may lose 10– 15 situates here cutting down the tally to 61– 56.

Bihar – BJP won 22/40 and its partners LJP and RSLP with 6 and 3 seats. Presently with Nitish joining NDA, they would need to yield a few seats to JD(U). So Bjp may get 17– 20.

Lion’s share of Northern Heartland – In states like Gujarat, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh, Jharkhand, Uttarakhand, Haryana and Himachal Pradesh where it is in a Bipolar challenge with Congress, it won 116 out the 124 seats altogether. Accomplishing the same would rely upon the gathering decisions arranged in 2018, where numerous BJP governments have been administering for quite a while.
Maharashtra – Out of the 48 seats, BJP got 23 all alone while its partner anchored 18 seats. Be that as it may, with Sena going about as a toxic acquaintance its solitary up to everybody’s figure whether they would battle decisions separately. Also, in the event that they do, there’s a plausibility of Sena joining the NCP drove coalition in Maharashtra which might possibly harm BJP’s prospects.

Bengal and Odisha – These are the two states in which Naveen Patnaik and Mamata Banerjee held their strongholds in the midst of the Modi wave in the nation. Out of the consolidated 63, it could just get 3 seats. So this is one ready ground to relieve the loses in the Hindi heartland.

Tamil Nadu – The perplexing state which dependably has a soldier in the decision dispensation at the middle regardless of what send 39 MP’s for at regular intervals. After Jayalalitha’s inopportune end, the state’s governmental issues have seen a considerable measure. A great deal political estimation to pick the correct partner would decide the expansion of 39 or not to the last count.

Kerala – It was the extreme nut to pop open, for its one of the significant states in which BJP neglected to open a count. It is difficult to state on the off chance that it can open a count in the 20 seats.

Andhra Pradesh and Telangana – Together these two states hold 42 seats. Despite the fact that BJP could win just, it has potential partners in both the states who could deliver at least 80 percent of the aggregate seats to NDA.
 
Upper East (7 Sisters) – They have 25 seats among them, BJP holds 8. Yet, after the recent triumphs in the gathering decisions, I’m almost certain its count would increment.

Karnataka – This state dependably has an inquisitive pattern. It generally had exchanging pattern. It generally had diverse powers in Karnataka and at the Center. The get-together races would give a view where the breezes are blowing.
Punjab – This dependably been a frail leg for BJP. It is pretty much dependant on its partner SAD to convey seats from this state. Punjab holds 13 seats, out which no less than 6 could go for BJP-SAD consolidate.

Goa and Delhi – These two association domains have 9 seats among them and BJP won every one of them. It needs to keep up a similar count. With AAP as of now in the confounded state, it ought to be done again in 2019.

On an entire while the photo looks very comfortable that NDA would come to control in 2019 passing by the patterns and the restriction altogether display without knowing how to pull their demonstration together, the main inquiry would be, can BJP get a 282 again in 2019?
On the off chance that you ask me I wouldn’t state an authoritative No or Yes, for governmental issues is a specialty of betting the future in light without bounds.

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1 comment

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Santwona Patnaik July 13, 2018 at 8:08 am

Very apt analysis! Great work!

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